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Using LiST to model indirect impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic

See our recent webinar to discuss the LiST team’s analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on maternal and child mortality, and answer any questions here. The slides are also available here.


A collection of ways that LiST has been used to model impacts of the coronavirus pandemic on maternal and child health. While LiST is typically used to model what would happen if coverage of interventions were to be scaled up, it can also be use to model reductions in coverage.

Covid-19 disruptions killed 228,000 children in South Asia, says UN report, in BBC News, 17 March 2021

Bhutta Z and the Research Team, Direct and indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and response in South Asia, UNICEF, March 2021

Osendarp S, Akuoku JK, Black RE, Headey D, Ruel M, Scott N, et al. (2021). The COVID-19 crisis will exacerbate maternal and child undernutrition and child mortality in low- and middle-income countries. Nature Food.

Jacome A, Castaneda-Orjuela C, Barahona N. (2021). Indirect effects of the SARS CoV-2 pandemic on the prevalence of breastfeeding: Modeling its impact. Biomedica.

Rollins N, Minckas N, Jehan F, Lodha R, Raiten D, Thorne C, et al. A public health approach for deciding policy on infant feeding and mother–infant contact in the context of COVID-19. The Lancet Global Health. 2021 Feb;S2214109X20305386.

Headley D, Heidkamp R, Osendarp S, Ruel M, Scott N, Black RE, Shekar M, Bouis H, Flory A, Haddad L, Walker N.  (2020). Impacts of COVID-19 on childhood malnutrition and nutrition-related mortality.  The Lancet 396: 519-521 27 July 2020

Riley T, Sully E, Ahmed Z, Biddlecom A. (2020). Estimates of the Potential Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Sexual and Reproductive Health in Low- and Middle Income Countries. International Perspectives on Sexual and Reproductive Health.

The risks of a secondary health crisis for women and children: 3 things to know, by Monique Vledder in Investing in Health, 25 June 2020

Risks Of Home Birth Loom For Women In Rural Africa Amid Lockdowns, by Patrick Adams in NPR Goats and Soda, 12 June 2020

Stalled vaccine programmes 'putting children's lives at risk', by Tulip Mazumdar in BBC News, 4 June 2020

COVID-19 Threatens The World's Children In More Ways Than One, by Sarah Ferguson in Forbes, 2 June 2020

Study Warns 1.1 Million Children Could Die as Pandemic Interrupts Access to Food & Medical Care, by Amy Goodman interviewing Tim Roberton and Beate Kampmann, in DemocracyNow, 21 May 2020

Early Estimates of the Indirect Effects of the Coronavirus Pandemic on Maternal and Child Mortality in Low- and Middle-Income Countries by Timothy Roberton, Emily Carter, Victoria Chou, Angela Stegmuller, Bianca Jackson, Yvonne Tam, Talata Sawadogo-Lewis and Neff Walker, in Lancet Global Health, 12 May 2020 - see the data here

As COVID-19 devastates already fragile health systems, over 6,000 additional children under five could die a day, without urgent action by UNICEF Covid-19 Programme and Advocacy Response, 12 May 2020

Over a million children, mothers in low-income countries could die over next six months from pandemic, by Janice Dickson, in the Globe and Mail, 13 May 2020

Una crisis que puede matar hasta 6.000 niños más al día, by Belén Hernandez, in El Pais, 13 May 2020

The global child mortality rate could rise for the first time in more than 60 years, experts warn, by Danielle Paquette, in The Washington Post, 13 May 2020

Unicef: 6,000 children could die every day due to impact of coronavirus, by Kate Hodal, in The Guardian, 13 May 2020

UNICEF issues dire report on coronavirus' deadly impact on children, by Karen Smith, in CNN, 13 May 2020

As coronavirus weakens health systems, 6,000 children could die daily, by Siddhant Pandey, in NewsBytes, 13 May 2020

As COVID-19 devastates already fragile health systems, over 6,000 additional children under five could die a day, without urgent action, by UNICEF, in Reliefweb, 13 May 2020

How COVID-19 May Cause Increases in Maternal and Child Mortality in Low- and Middle-Income Countries, by Sara Bennett and Timothy Roberton, in Public Health on Call (podcast), 7 May 202

More than one million more women and children globally could die as pandemic diverts health services, by Jennifer Rigby, in The Telegraph, 23 April 2020 

GFF leaders warn of emerging secondary global health crisis from disruptions in primary health care due to COVID-19, by Global Financing Facility Investors Group, 23 April 2020 

Estimating the Potential Impact of COVID-19 on Mothers and Newborns in Low- and Middle-Income Countries by Dorit Stein, Kevin Ward, and Catherine Cantelmo, in Medium Health Policy Plus, 15 April 2020